S. Marí-Vidal, M. Marín-Sánchez, E. Seguí-Mas y M. Michael-Zamorano
Issue:
110-3 (300-320)
Topic:
Agricultural Economics
Keywords:
Insolvency, business failure, cooperatives, prediction models, Delphi analysis.
Summary:
Accounting information has been employed in many economic-financial models applied to registered corporations
to predict business failure. Nonetheless, there are practically no research works that predict
failure in agricultural cooperatives. The fundamental elements of this legal form justify the development
of specific prediction models. The Delphi methodology has been used to define agricultural cooperative
failure and to assess the usefulness of accounting variables. The conclusions suggest considering those
agricultural cooperatives with negative equity or cash-flow problems to be failures or to come close to
this concept. Similarly, indebtedness volume, cash flow and solvency are the most relevant variables that
can act as business prediction instruments.
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